BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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NC State

Class: 1 Class Rank: 44 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (12-8) Overall: (22-9) Overall Strength =   33.60

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    56.78  99  50    1 323 (  9- 22) Austin Peay            23.07 *   25.93                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    21.28  73  67    1 229 ( 16- 17) Campbell              -12.44     18.44                      
  3 11-15-2022 Home    W    49.07 107  74    1 223 ( 14- 17) Florida Intl           15.35     17.65                      
  4 11-19-2022 Home    W    18.93  74  63    1 337 (  8- 24) Elon                  -14.78 *   25.78                      
  5 11-23-2022 Neutral L    34.35  74  80    1   8 ( 25-  6) Kansas                  0.64     -6.64                      
  6 11-24-2022 Neutral W    42.65  76  64    1  77 ( 20- 11) Dayton                  8.94      3.06                      
  7 11-25-2022 Neutral W    42.12  76  61    1 105 ( 14- 17) Butler                  8.41      6.59                      
  8 11-29-2022 Home    W    31.98  85  64    1 309 ( 13- 19) William & Mary         -1.74     22.74                      
  9 12-02-2022 Home    L *  20.22  60  68    1  66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh            -13.50      5.50                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    W    28.77  94  72    1 344 (  9- 22) Coppin St              -4.95 *   26.95                      
 11 12-10-2022 Away    L *  29.87  73  80    1  36 ( 24-  6) Miami FL               -3.85     -3.15                      
 12 12-13-2022 Home    W    44.83  92  73    1  89 ( 25-  7) Furman                 11.12      7.88                      
 13 12-17-2022 Neutral W    33.81  70  66    1  84 ( 18- 13) Vanderbilt              0.09      3.91                      
 14 12-22-2022 Home    W *  24.37  76  64    1 277 (  4- 27) Louisville             -9.35     21.35                      
 15 12-30-2022 Away    L *  21.16  64  78    1  67 ( 22-  9) Clemson               -12.55     -1.45                      
 16 01-04-2023 Home    W *  55.89  84  60    1  29 ( 23-  8) Duke                   22.17      1.83                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    W *  38.48  73  69    1  76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech           4.76     -0.76                      
 18 01-14-2023 Home    W *  32.12  83  81 1  1  36 ( 24-  6) Miami FL               -1.60      3.60                      
 19 01-17-2023 Away    W *  38.59  78  66    1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech            4.87      7.13                      
 20 01-21-2023 Away    L *  26.11  69  80    1  43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina         -7.61     -3.39                      
 21 01-24-2023 Home    W *  22.30  85  82    1 163 ( 11- 20) Notre Dame            -11.41     14.41                      
 22 01-28-2023 Away    W *  34.41  79  77    1  88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest             0.70      1.30                      
 23 02-01-2023 Home    W *  44.90  94  66    1 211 (  9- 22) Florida St             11.18     16.82                      
 24 02-04-2023 Home    W *  27.84  72  64    1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech           -5.88     13.88                      
 25 02-07-2023 Away    L *  24.26  50  63    1  46 ( 23-  6) Virginia               -9.45     -3.55                      
 26 02-11-2023 Away    W *  55.47  92  62    1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College         21.76      8.24                      
 27 02-14-2023 Away    L *  26.55  72  75    1 116 ( 17- 14) Syracuse               -7.17      4.17                      
 28 02-19-2023 Home    W *  38.36  77  69    1  43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina          4.64      3.36                      
 29 02-22-2023 Home    W *  41.66  90  74    1  88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest             7.95      8.05                      
 30 02-25-2023 Home    L *   3.41  71  96    1  67 ( 22-  9) Clemson               -30.30      5.30                      
 31 02-28-2023 Away    L *  34.64  67  71    1  29 ( 23-  8) Duke                    0.92     -4.92                      
      Averages              33.72  78.4 70.3

Best game:   56.78 = 49 point win over Austin Peay
Worst game:   3.41 = 25 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:  12.10